Researchers study spread of Covid-19 during short conversations

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The researchers from the department of Aerospace Engineering at the Indian Institute of Science (IISc), along with collaborators from the Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics (NORDITA) in Stockholm and the International Centre for Theoretical Sciences (ICTS) in Bengaluru carried out computer simulations to analyse the movement of the speech aerosols in the air space between people interacting and if it leads to spread of viruses, including the Coronavirus.

“When a person sneezes or coughs, they can potentially transmit droplets carrying viruses like SARS-CoV-2 to others in their vicinity. Does talking to an infected person also carry an increased risk of infection? How do speech droplets or “aerosols” move in the air space between the people interacting?” the study published in the journal Flow addresses these queries.

The team visualised scenarios in which two maskless people are standing two, four or six feet apart and talking to each other for about a minute, and then estimated the rate and extent of spread of the speech aerosols from one to another.

Interactions of speech jets during short conversations between two people separated by a distance of four feet, visualised by an iso-surface of the aerosol concentration. Three different height differences are shown. The blue and red colours represent the simulated speech jets emanating from the mouths of the two people.

“Their simulations showed that the risk of getting infected was higher when one person acted as a passive listener and didn’t engage in a two-way conversation. Factors like the height difference between the people talking and the quantity of aerosols released from their mouths also appear to play an important role in viral transmission,” a statement from the IISc read.

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“Speaking is a complex activity and when people speak, they are not really conscious of whether this can constitute a means of virus transmission,” said Sourabh Diwan, assistant professor in the department of Aerospace Engineering, and one of the corresponding authors.

“In the early days of the pandemic, experts believed that the virus mostly spread symptomatically through coughing or sneezing. Soon, it became clear that asymptomatic transmission also leads to the spread of Covid-19. However, very few studies have looked at aerosol transport by speech as a possible mode of asymptomatic transmission,” he added.

To analyse speech flows, Diwan and his team modified a computer code they had originally developed to study the movement and behaviour of cumulus clouds – the puffy cotton-like clouds that are usually seen on a sunny day. The code (called Megha-5) was written by S Ravichandran from NORDITA, the other corresponding author on the paper.

“The analysis carried out by the team on speech flows incorporated the possibility of viral entry through the eyes and mouth in determining the risk of infection – most previous studies had only considered the nose as the point of entry,” the statement said.

“The computational part was intensive, and it took a lot of time to perform these simulations,” said Rohit Singhal, first author and PhD student at the department of Aerospace Engineering.

Diwan added that it is hard to numerically simulate the flow of speech aerosols because of the highly-fluctuating (“turbulent”) nature of the flow; factors like the flow rate at the mouth and the duration of speech also play a role in shaping its evolution.

“In the simulations, when the speakers were either of the same height, or of drastically different heights (one tall and another short), the risk of infection was found to be much lower than when the height difference was moderate – the variation looked like a bell curve. Based on their results, the team suggested that just turning their heads away by about nine degrees from each other while still maintaining eye contact can reduce the risk for the speakers considerably,” the researchers said.

Moving forward, the team plans to focus on simulating differences in the loudness of the speakers’ voices and the presence of ventilation sources in their vicinity to see what effect they can have on viral transmission.

They also plan to engage in discussions with public health policymakers and epidemiologists to develop suitable guidelines.

“Whatever precautions we can take while we come back to normalcy in our daily interactions with other people, would go a long way in minimising the spread of infection,” Diwan said.

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